Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Chemical Works (RICHT.BD)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - PharmaceuticalsSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$94,622.10 - $246,830.37$231,316.20
Multi-Stage$35,339.05 - $38,670.35$36,974.14
Blended Fair Value$134,145.17
Current Price$10,110.00
Upside1,226.86%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS33.52%22.25%431.81396.90228.98228.9864.11101.7769.20107.8874.0634.10
YoY Growth--8.80%73.33%0.00%257.16%-37.00%47.06%-35.85%45.66%117.18%-41.10%
Dividend Yield--4.21%4.24%3.13%3.26%0.70%1.65%1.29%2.03%1.13%0.62%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)227,294.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)93,307.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)133,987.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)45,458.8028,411.7517,047.05
Cash Retained (M)133,987.00133,987.00133,987.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-45,458.80-28,411.75-17,047.05
(=) Excess Retained (M)88,528.20105,575.25116,939.95
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)183.13183.13183.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share483.41576.49638.55
LTM Dividend per Share509.50509.50509.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share483.41576.49638.55
(=) Adjusted Dividend992.911,085.991,148.05
WACC / Discount Rate6.61%6.61%6.61%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$94,622.10$231,316.20$246,830.37
Upside / Downside835.93%2,187.99%2,341.45%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)227,294.00242,068.11257,802.54274,559.70292,406.08311,412.48320,754.85
Payout Ratio41.05%50.84%60.63%70.42%80.21%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)93,307.00123,069.82156,307.59193,346.30234,539.64280,271.23296,698.24

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.61%6.61%6.61%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)114,358.51115,442.48116,526.45
Year 2 PV (M)134,962.75137,533.41140,128.32
Year 3 PV (M)155,126.72159,579.85164,117.40
Year 4 PV (M)174,857.36181,581.88188,498.52
Year 5 PV (M)194,161.49203,539.56213,276.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,698,323.105,973,554.236,259,319.11
Equity Value (M)6,471,789.936,771,231.427,081,866.35
Shares Outstanding (M)183.13183.13183.13
Fair Value$35,339.05$36,974.14$38,670.35
Upside / Downside249.55%265.72%282.50%

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