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Definitive Analysis

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Rectitude Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares (RECT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - DistributionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.26 - $5.03$4.08
Multi-Stage$7.21 - $7.95$7.57
Blended Fair Value$5.83
Current Price$5.37
Upside8.53%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.150.090.070.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---100.00%73.91%21.05%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%2.86%1.67%1.35%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4.69
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1.25
(=) Cash Retained (M)3.44
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)0.940.590.35
Cash Retained (M)3.443.443.44
(-) Cash Required (M)-0.94-0.59-0.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)2.502.853.09
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)13.2813.2813.28
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.190.210.23
LTM Dividend per Share0.090.090.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.190.210.23
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.280.310.33
WACC / Discount Rate6.50%6.50%6.50%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$3.26$4.08$5.03
Upside / Downside-39.29%-23.98%-6.34%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4.694.654.604.554.514.464.60
Payout Ratio26.70%39.36%52.02%64.68%77.34%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1.251.832.392.953.494.024.25

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.50%6.50%6.50%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)1.701.721.73
Year 2 PV (M)2.072.112.15
Year 3 PV (M)2.372.442.51
Year 4 PV (M)2.602.712.82
Year 5 PV (M)2.792.933.08
PV of Terminal Value (M)84.2788.6693.23
Equity Value (M)95.80100.57105.54
Shares Outstanding (M)13.2813.2813.28
Fair Value$7.21$7.57$7.95
Upside / Downside34.34%41.04%48.00%

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