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QBE Insurance Group Limited (QBE.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - Property & CasualtySector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$140.19 - $493.62$462.60
Multi-Stage$63.44 - $69.40$66.37
Blended Fair Value$264.48
Current Price$15.39
Upside1,618.54%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.99%12.05%0.450.290.210.110.180.300.160.350.330.24
YoY Growth--52.83%40.00%94.44%-38.87%-42.27%93.67%-55.87%8.70%37.60%66.20%
Dividend Yield--3.75%2.89%2.27%1.30%2.67%3.36%2.20%4.23%3.65%2.59%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,756.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,475.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,281.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)751.20469.50281.70
Cash Retained (M)2,281.002,281.002,281.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-751.20-469.50-281.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,529.801,811.501,999.30
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,513.251,513.251,513.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.011.201.32
LTM Dividend per Share0.970.970.97
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.011.201.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.992.172.30
WACC / Discount Rate6.99%6.99%6.99%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$140.19$462.60$493.62
Upside / Downside810.88%2,905.83%3,107.42%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,756.004,000.144,260.154,537.064,831.975,146.055,300.43
Payout Ratio39.27%49.42%59.56%69.71%79.85%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,475.001,976.732,537.443,162.703,858.524,631.444,902.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.99%6.99%6.99%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,830.161,847.501,864.85
Year 2 PV (M)2,175.102,216.532,258.35
Year 3 PV (M)2,510.062,582.122,655.54
Year 4 PV (M)2,835.242,944.273,056.42
Year 5 PV (M)3,150.843,303.023,461.03
PV of Terminal Value (M)83,505.5387,538.8891,726.59
Equity Value (M)96,006.92100,432.33105,022.79
Shares Outstanding (M)1,513.251,513.251,513.25
Fair Value$63.44$66.37$69.40
Upside / Downside312.24%331.25%350.96%

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