Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Protector Forsikring ASA (PROT.OL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - SpecialtySector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,190.49 - $5,524.66$2,670.33
Multi-Stage$627.37 - $686.16$656.22
Blended Fair Value$1,663.28
Current Price$429.00
Upside287.71%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%19.01%10.0210.0211.528.020.000.000.002.362.362.01
YoY Growth--0.01%-13.03%43.63%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-0.01%17.36%14.29%
Dividend Yield--2.96%4.43%8.29%6.59%0.00%0.00%0.00%2.76%3.70%2.67%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,285.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)742.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,543.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)457.00285.63171.38
Cash Retained (M)1,543.001,543.001,543.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-457.00-285.63-171.38
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,086.001,257.381,371.63
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)82.2582.2582.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share13.2015.2916.68
LTM Dividend per Share9.029.029.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share13.2015.2916.68
(=) Adjusted Dividend22.2224.3125.70
WACC / Discount Rate7.47%7.47%7.47%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,190.49$2,670.33$5,524.66
Upside / Downside177.50%522.45%1,187.80%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,285.002,433.532,591.702,760.162,939.583,130.653,224.57
Payout Ratio32.47%43.98%55.48%66.99%78.49%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)742.001,070.221,437.971,849.012,307.412,817.582,982.72

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.47%7.47%7.47%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)986.48995.841,005.19
Year 2 PV (M)1,221.761,245.031,268.52
Year 3 PV (M)1,448.081,489.651,532.01
Year 4 PV (M)1,665.701,729.751,795.64
Year 5 PV (M)1,874.851,965.402,059.43
PV of Terminal Value (M)44,406.8646,551.7348,778.68
Equity Value (M)51,603.7353,977.4056,439.46
Shares Outstanding (M)82.2582.2582.25
Fair Value$627.37$656.22$686.16
Upside / Downside46.24%52.97%59.94%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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