Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Pipestone Energy Corp. (PIPE.TO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.09 - $5.94$4.99
Multi-Stage$6.68 - $7.35$7.01
Blended Fair Value$6.00
Current Price$2.27
Upside164.26%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20222021202020192018
DPS0.00%0.00%0.030.140.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---78.27%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.07%2.56%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)157.09
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)148.69
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)31.4219.6411.78
Cash Retained (M)148.69148.69148.69
(-) Cash Required (M)-31.42-19.64-11.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)117.28129.06136.91
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)282.80282.80282.80
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.410.460.48
LTM Dividend per Share0.030.030.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.410.460.48
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.440.490.51
WACC / Discount Rate8.65%8.65%8.65%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$4.09$4.99$5.94
Upside / Downside80.18%119.72%161.75%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)157.09155.52153.97152.43150.90149.39153.87
Payout Ratio5.35%22.28%39.21%56.14%73.07%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8.4034.6560.3785.57110.26134.45142.33

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.65%8.65%8.65%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)31.5731.8932.21
Year 2 PV (M)50.1151.1452.18
Year 3 PV (M)64.7266.7268.76
Year 4 PV (M)75.9879.1382.38
Year 5 PV (M)84.4288.8193.39
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,582.351,664.751,750.55
Equity Value (M)1,889.151,982.442,079.46
Shares Outstanding (M)282.80282.80282.80
Fair Value$6.68$7.01$7.35
Upside / Downside194.28%208.81%223.92%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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