Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Per Aarsleff Holding A/S (PAAL-B.CO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7,185.67 - $8,465.93$7,933.82
Multi-Stage$5,181.46 - $5,686.74$5,429.38
Blended Fair Value$6,681.60
Current Price$657.00
Upside916.99%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS13.50%25.08%9.847.838.146.705.725.234.204.203.151.58
YoY Growth--25.66%-3.80%21.54%17.16%9.42%24.36%0.00%33.33%100.00%50.00%
Dividend Yield--1.96%2.43%3.11%2.19%1.85%2.44%2.14%2.05%1.79%0.75%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)826.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)208.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)618.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)165.20103.2561.95
Cash Retained (M)618.00618.00618.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-165.20-103.25-61.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)452.80514.75556.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)19.4019.4019.40
(=) Excess Retained per Share23.3426.5328.66
LTM Dividend per Share10.7210.7210.72
(+) Excess Retained per Share23.3426.5328.66
(=) Adjusted Dividend34.0637.2539.38
WACC / Discount Rate1.08%1.08%1.08%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$7,185.67$7,933.82$8,465.93
Upside / Downside993.71%1,107.58%1,188.57%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)826.00879.69936.87997.771,062.621,131.691,165.64
Payout Ratio25.18%38.15%51.11%64.07%77.04%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)208.00335.56478.82639.30818.601,018.521,078.22

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.08%1.08%1.08%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)328.86331.97335.09
Year 2 PV (M)459.88468.64477.48
Year 3 PV (M)601.74619.01636.61
Year 4 PV (M)755.12784.16814.03
Year 5 PV (M)920.77965.241,011.41
PV of Terminal Value (M)97,473.25102,181.25107,069.43
Equity Value (M)100,539.62105,350.28110,344.06
Shares Outstanding (M)19.4019.4019.40
Fair Value$5,181.46$5,429.38$5,686.74
Upside / Downside688.65%726.39%765.56%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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