Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Ooredoo Q.P.S.C. (ORDS.QA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Telecommunications ServicesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.08 - $10.03$8.54
Multi-Stage$19.10 - $21.07$20.06
Blended Fair Value$14.30
Current Price$13.67
Upside4.62%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS17.08%3.24%0.550.430.300.250.250.250.350.350.300.40
YoY Growth--27.91%43.33%20.00%0.00%0.00%-28.57%0.00%16.67%-25.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.66%4.06%3.19%3.52%3.54%4.26%5.39%4.24%3.11%4.30%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,601.63
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,082.08
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,519.55
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)720.33450.20270.12
Cash Retained (M)1,519.551,519.551,519.55
(-) Cash Required (M)-720.33-450.20-270.12
(=) Excess Retained (M)799.231,069.351,249.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,203.203,203.203,203.20
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.250.330.39
LTM Dividend per Share0.650.650.65
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.250.330.39
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.900.981.04
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate-5.36%-4.36%-3.36%
Fair Value$7.08$8.54$10.03
Upside / Downside-48.20%-37.54%-26.63%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,601.633,444.613,294.443,150.813,013.452,882.072,968.53
Payout Ratio57.81%64.25%70.69%77.12%83.56%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,082.082,213.082,328.692,430.022,518.092,593.862,745.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate-5.36%-4.36%-3.36%
Year 1 PV (M)2,053.172,074.862,096.55
Year 2 PV (M)2,004.322,046.902,089.93
Year 3 PV (M)1,940.412,002.572,066.04
Year 4 PV (M)1,865.441,945.542,028.20
Year 5 PV (M)1,782.731,878.921,979.23
PV of Terminal Value (M)51,542.1654,323.3857,223.37
Equity Value (M)61,188.2364,272.1867,483.33
Shares Outstanding (M)3,203.203,203.203,203.20
Fair Value$19.10$20.06$21.07
Upside / Downside39.74%46.78%54.11%

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