Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Norconsult ASA (NORCO.OL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$213.68 - $463.32$434.20
Multi-Stage$71.56 - $78.24$74.84
Blended Fair Value$254.52
Current Price$47.50
Upside435.83%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS14.07%0.00%1.142.880.840.810.660.590.950.000.000.00
YoY Growth---60.53%242.13%3.67%22.57%12.54%-38.28%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.57%10.65%4.44%4.28%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)704.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)512.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)192.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)140.8088.0052.80
Cash Retained (M)192.00192.00192.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-140.80-88.00-52.80
(=) Excess Retained (M)51.20104.00139.20
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)302.19302.19302.19
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.170.340.46
LTM Dividend per Share1.691.691.69
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.170.340.46
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.862.042.15
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$213.68$434.20$463.32
Upside / Downside349.85%814.10%875.40%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)704.00749.76798.49850.40905.67964.54993.48
Payout Ratio72.73%76.18%79.64%83.09%86.55%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)512.00571.18635.89706.60783.82868.09918.97

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)531.68536.72541.76
Year 2 PV (M)550.99561.48572.07
Year 3 PV (M)569.92586.28602.95
Year 4 PV (M)588.48611.11634.39
Year 5 PV (M)606.68635.98666.40
PV of Terminal Value (M)18,777.7519,684.7320,626.41
Equity Value (M)21,625.5022,616.3023,643.99
Shares Outstanding (M)302.19302.19302.19
Fair Value$71.56$74.84$78.24
Upside / Downside50.66%57.56%64.72%

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