Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Lifco AB (publ) (LIFCO-B.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConglomeratesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$160.24 - $365.94$233.43
Multi-Stage$116.99 - $127.65$122.23
Blended Fair Value$177.83
Current Price$317.80
Upside-44.04%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS14.25%24.23%2.102.141.871.201.051.080.840.740.630.55
YoY Growth---1.95%14.74%55.60%14.26%-2.65%27.94%13.65%18.25%13.10%131.19%
Dividend Yield--0.59%0.75%0.84%0.50%0.65%1.48%1.08%1.16%1.32%1.27%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,563.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,365.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,198.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)712.60445.38267.23
Cash Retained (M)2,198.002,198.002,198.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-712.60-445.38-267.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,485.401,752.631,930.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)454.23454.23454.23
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.273.864.25
LTM Dividend per Share3.013.013.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.273.864.25
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.286.867.26
WACC / Discount Rate9.63%9.63%9.63%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$160.24$233.43$365.94
Upside / Downside-49.58%-26.55%15.15%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,563.003,794.604,041.244,303.924,583.684,881.625,028.07
Payout Ratio38.31%48.65%58.99%69.32%79.66%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,365.001,846.012,383.782,983.663,651.454,393.464,650.96

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.63%9.63%9.63%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,668.021,683.831,699.64
Year 2 PV (M)1,946.261,983.332,020.75
Year 3 PV (M)2,201.162,264.352,328.74
Year 4 PV (M)2,434.092,527.702,623.98
Year 5 PV (M)2,646.332,774.152,906.86
PV of Terminal Value (M)42,244.6844,285.1246,403.64
Equity Value (M)53,140.5555,518.4857,983.62
Shares Outstanding (M)454.23454.23454.23
Fair Value$116.99$122.23$127.65
Upside / Downside-63.19%-61.54%-59.83%

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