DDM Analysis: JUNGH.SW

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$283.33 - $693.90	$650.29
Multi-Stage	$100.07 - $109.58	$104.73
Blended Fair Value	$377.51
Current Price	$39.96
Upside	844.73%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	8.60%	10.35%	0.74	0.67	0.67	0.42	0.47	0.49	0.49	0.43	0.39	0.34
YoY Growth	-	-	10.46%	0.00%	59.61%	-10.65%	-4.09%	0.00%	13.97%	11.22%	14.88%	21.73%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.30%	1.90%	2.08%	1.59%	1.14%	3.51%	1.63%	1.19%	1.24%	1.26%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	355.89
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	80.52
(=) Cash Retained (M)	275.37

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	71.18	44.49	26.69
Cash Retained (M)	275.37	275.37	275.37
(-) Cash Required (M)	-71.18	-44.49	-26.69
(=) Excess Retained (M)	204.19	230.89	248.68
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	102.00	102.00	102.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share	2.00	2.26	2.44
LTM Dividend per Share	0.79	0.79	0.79
(+) Excess Retained per Share	2.00	2.26	2.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend	2.79	3.05	3.23
WACC / Discount Rate	6.54%	6.54%	6.54%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$283.33	$650.29	$693.90
Upside / Downside	609.02%	1,527.35%	1,636.50%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	355.89	379.03	403.66	429.90	457.84	487.60	502.23
Payout Ratio	22.62%	36.10%	49.57%	63.05%	76.52%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	80.52	136.83	200.12	271.05	350.37	438.84	464.56

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.54%	6.54%	6.54%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	127.22	128.43	129.64
Year 2 PV (M)	173.01	176.30	179.63
Year 3 PV (M)	217.89	224.14	230.51
Year 4 PV (M)	261.87	271.94	282.30
Year 5 PV (M)	304.98	319.71	335.01
PV of Terminal Value (M)	9,121.84	9,562.42	10,019.87
Equity Value (M)	10,206.81	10,682.95	11,176.96
Shares Outstanding (M)	102.00	102.00	102.00
Fair Value	$100.07	$104.73	$109.58
Upside / Downside	150.42%	162.10%	174.22%

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Jungheinrich AG (JUNGH.SW)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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