Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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JHSF Participações S.A. (JHSF3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - DiversifiedSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$188.71 - $379.17$355.34
Multi-Stage$57.77 - $63.27$60.47
Blended Fair Value$207.90
Current Price$6.47
Upside3,113.34%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS48.51%25.89%0.370.450.210.400.170.050.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---17.21%113.43%-47.47%133.16%233.77%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--8.82%11.30%7.17%8.01%3.56%2.15%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,293.39
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)250.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,043.39
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)258.68161.6797.00
Cash Retained (M)1,043.391,043.391,043.39
(-) Cash Required (M)-258.68-161.67-97.00
(=) Excess Retained (M)784.71881.72946.39
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)678.39678.39678.39
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.161.301.40
LTM Dividend per Share0.370.370.37
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.161.301.40
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.531.671.76
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$188.71$355.34$379.17
Upside / Downside2,816.74%5,392.07%5,760.42%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,293.391,377.461,467.001,562.351,663.901,772.061,825.22
Payout Ratio19.33%33.46%47.60%61.73%75.87%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)250.00460.94698.25964.461,262.331,594.851,688.33

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)429.34433.41437.48
Year 2 PV (M)605.79617.33628.97
Year 3 PV (M)779.38801.75824.55
Year 4 PV (M)950.15986.691,024.27
Year 5 PV (M)1,118.131,172.131,228.21
PV of Terminal Value (M)35,304.8637,010.1038,780.60
Equity Value (M)39,187.6541,021.4142,924.09
Shares Outstanding (M)678.39678.39678.39
Fair Value$57.77$60.47$63.27
Upside / Downside792.83%834.61%877.96%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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