Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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I-Tech AB (ITECH.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: BiotechnologySector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$26.94 - $39.71$33.06
Multi-Stage$49.58 - $54.45$51.97
Blended Fair Value$42.52
Current Price$94.60
Upside-55.06%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%1.500.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.77%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)41.11
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)20.84
(=) Cash Retained (M)20.27
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8.225.143.08
Cash Retained (M)20.2720.2720.27
(-) Cash Required (M)-8.22-5.14-3.08
(=) Excess Retained (M)12.0515.1317.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.9411.9411.94
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.011.271.44
LTM Dividend per Share1.751.751.75
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.011.271.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.763.013.19
WACC / Discount Rate8.02%8.02%8.02%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$26.94$33.06$39.71
Upside / Downside-71.52%-65.05%-58.03%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)41.1140.7040.2939.8939.4939.1040.27
Payout Ratio50.69%58.55%66.42%74.28%82.14%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)20.8423.8326.7629.6332.4435.1937.25

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.02%8.02%8.02%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)21.8422.0622.28
Year 2 PV (M)22.4722.9323.40
Year 3 PV (M)22.8023.5024.22
Year 4 PV (M)22.8723.8224.80
Year 5 PV (M)22.7423.9225.15
PV of Terminal Value (M)479.06504.00529.98
Equity Value (M)591.77620.24649.83
Shares Outstanding (M)11.9411.9411.94
Fair Value$49.58$51.97$54.45
Upside / Downside-47.59%-45.07%-42.45%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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