DDM Analysis: ISB.IC

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$749.51 - $2,704.68	$2,384.72
Multi-Stage	$346.40 - $378.80	$362.30
Blended Fair Value	$1,373.51
Current Price	$122.00
Upside	1,025.83%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	18.34%	0.00%	6.54	6.52	6.33	1.81	0.00	2.82	6.91	1.30	5.32	4.79
YoY Growth	-	-	0.40%	2.97%	250.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	-59.23%	430.83%	-75.51%	11.11%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	5.32%	6.45%	5.30%	1.43%	0.00%	2.98%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	25,578.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	12,103.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	13,475.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	5,115.60	3,197.25	1,918.35
Cash Retained (M)	13,475.00	13,475.00	13,475.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-5,115.60	-3,197.25	-1,918.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)	8,359.40	10,277.75	11,556.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,880.75	1,880.75	1,880.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share	4.44	5.46	6.14
LTM Dividend per Share	6.44	6.44	6.44
(+) Excess Retained per Share	4.44	5.46	6.14
(=) Adjusted Dividend	10.88	11.90	12.58
WACC / Discount Rate	7.03%	7.03%	7.03%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$749.51	$2,384.72	$2,704.68
Upside / Downside	514.35%	1,854.68%	2,116.95%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	25,578.00	27,240.57	29,011.21	30,896.94	32,905.24	35,044.08	36,095.40
Payout Ratio	47.32%	55.85%	64.39%	72.93%	81.46%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	12,103.00	15,215.06	18,680.55	22,532.27	26,805.79	31,539.67	33,388.24

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.03%	7.03%	7.03%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	14,082.02	14,215.50	14,348.98
Year 2 PV (M)	16,001.94	16,306.73	16,614.40
Year 3 PV (M)	17,864.03	18,376.84	18,899.37
Year 4 PV (M)	19,669.55	20,425.99	21,204.04
Year 5 PV (M)	21,419.75	22,454.34	23,528.51
PV of Terminal Value (M)	562,458.42	589,625.37	617,832.07
Equity Value (M)	651,495.72	681,404.77	712,427.37
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,880.75	1,880.75	1,880.75
Fair Value	$346.40	$362.30	$378.80
Upside / Downside	183.94%	196.97%	210.49%

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Íslandsbanki hf. (ISB.IC)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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