Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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PT Indosat Ooredoo Hutchison Tbk (ISAT.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Telecommunications ServicesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10,408.41 - $28,489.68$26,699.00
Multi-Stage$4,064.42 - $4,444.58$4,251.02
Blended Fair Value$15,475.01
Current Price$1,750.00
Upside784.29%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%67.0963.9262.01294.530.000.0012.3011.990.000.00
YoY Growth--4.97%3.07%-78.94%0.00%0.00%-100.00%2.56%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.61%2.31%0.89%5.69%0.00%0.00%0.51%0.25%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,620,064.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,702,398.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,917,666.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)924,012.80577,508.00346,504.80
Cash Retained (M)1,917,666.001,917,666.001,917,666.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-924,012.80-577,508.00-346,504.80
(=) Excess Retained (M)993,653.201,340,158.001,571,161.20
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)32,250.8132,250.8132,250.81
(=) Excess Retained per Share30.8141.5548.72
LTM Dividend per Share83.7983.7983.79
(+) Excess Retained per Share30.8141.5548.72
(=) Adjusted Dividend114.60125.35132.51
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$10,408.41$26,699.00$28,489.68
Upside / Downside494.77%1,425.66%1,527.98%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,620,064.004,920,368.165,240,192.095,580,804.585,943,556.876,329,888.076,519,784.71
Payout Ratio58.49%64.79%71.10%77.40%83.70%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,702,398.003,188,109.363,725,545.584,319,378.734,974,669.775,696,899.266,030,800.86

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2,960,928.162,988,993.833,017,059.50
Year 2 PV (M)3,213,506.623,274,714.903,336,500.61
Year 3 PV (M)3,460,232.363,559,563.203,660,777.03
Year 4 PV (M)3,701,202.903,843,540.723,989,945.03
Year 5 PV (M)3,936,514.334,126,649.444,324,061.47
PV of Terminal Value (M)113,808,452.39119,305,443.20125,012,816.78
Equity Value (M)131,080,836.76137,098,905.28143,341,160.42
Shares Outstanding (M)32,250.8132,250.8132,250.81
Fair Value$4,064.42$4,251.02$4,444.58
Upside / Downside132.25%142.92%153.98%

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