Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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PT Intanwijaya Internasional Tbk (INCI.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,081.50 - $1,700.20$1,365.27
Multi-Stage$2,316.97 - $2,551.00$2,431.69
Blended Fair Value$1,898.48
Current Price$620.00
Upside206.21%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%34.760.000.0023.4218.750.005.290.008.660.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%-100.00%24.92%0.00%-100.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--6.32%0.00%0.00%4.43%1.86%0.00%1.24%0.00%2.55%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)22,846.22
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7,219.06
(=) Cash Retained (M)15,627.16
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4,569.242,855.781,713.47
Cash Retained (M)15,627.1615,627.1615,627.16
(-) Cash Required (M)-4,569.24-2,855.78-1,713.47
(=) Excess Retained (M)11,057.9212,771.3813,913.69
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)207.66207.66207.66
(=) Excess Retained per Share53.2561.5067.00
LTM Dividend per Share34.7634.7634.76
(+) Excess Retained per Share53.2561.5067.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend88.0296.27101.77
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate-1.53%-0.53%0.47%
Fair Value$1,081.50$1,365.27$1,700.20
Upside / Downside74.44%120.20%174.23%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)22,846.2222,725.6622,605.7422,486.4522,367.7922,249.7522,917.24
Payout Ratio31.60%43.28%54.96%66.64%78.32%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7,219.069,835.3912,423.9114,984.8317,518.3820,024.7821,198.45

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate-1.53%-0.53%0.47%
Year 1 PV (M)9,143.459,236.319,329.16
Year 2 PV (M)10,737.3110,956.4911,177.89
Year 3 PV (M)12,039.4812,410.0012,788.05
Year 4 PV (M)13,084.8413,624.5014,180.69
Year 5 PV (M)13,904.6714,625.1815,375.24
PV of Terminal Value (M)422,226.10444,104.80466,881.20
Equity Value (M)481,135.85504,957.28529,732.25
Shares Outstanding (M)207.66207.66207.66
Fair Value$2,316.97$2,431.69$2,551.00
Upside / Downside273.71%292.21%311.45%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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