Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Abrdn Healthcare Investors (HQH)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$36.77 - $54.05$45.07
Multi-Stage$63.51 - $69.93$66.65
Blended Fair Value$55.86
Current Price$16.05
Upside248.06%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)241.28
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)16.78
(=) Cash Retained (M)224.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)48.2630.1618.10
Cash Retained (M)224.50224.50224.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-48.26-30.16-18.10
(=) Excess Retained (M)176.25194.34206.41
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)50.7950.7950.79
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.473.834.06
LTM Dividend per Share0.330.330.33
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.473.834.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.804.164.39
WACC / Discount Rate8.13%8.13%8.13%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$36.77$45.07$54.05
Upside / Downside129.08%180.83%236.76%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)241.28238.87236.48234.12231.77229.46236.34
Payout Ratio6.95%23.56%40.17%56.78%73.39%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)16.7856.2895.00132.93170.10206.51218.61

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.13%8.13%8.13%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)51.5352.0552.58
Year 2 PV (M)79.6281.2582.90
Year 3 PV (M)101.99105.14108.36
Year 4 PV (M)119.47124.43129.53
Year 5 PV (M)132.79139.70146.90
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,739.802,882.463,031.01
Equity Value (M)3,225.193,385.043,551.28
Shares Outstanding (M)50.7950.7950.79
Fair Value$63.51$66.65$69.93
Upside / Downside295.67%315.28%335.68%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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