Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Gildan Activewear Inc. (GIL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$126.13 - $596.20$278.00
Multi-Stage$278.80 - $307.07$292.66
Blended Fair Value$285.33
Current Price$57.67
Upside394.77%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320232022202120192018201720172015
DPS3.40%9.64%0.880.870.810.600.200.740.620.560.490.42
YoY Growth--1.27%6.49%36.82%196.08%-72.94%19.40%11.49%14.04%16.76%19.80%
Dividend Yield--1.99%2.34%2.41%1.59%0.66%5.82%1.70%1.93%1.81%1.37%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)473.72
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)135.45
(=) Cash Retained (M)338.27
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)94.7459.2235.53
Cash Retained (M)338.27338.27338.27
(-) Cash Required (M)-94.74-59.22-35.53
(=) Excess Retained (M)243.53279.06302.74
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)152.00152.00152.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.601.841.99
LTM Dividend per Share0.890.890.89
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.601.841.99
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.492.732.88
WACC / Discount Rate3.41%3.41%3.41%
Growth Rate1.40%2.40%3.40%
Fair Value$126.13$278.00$596.20
Upside / Downside118.71%382.06%933.81%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)473.72485.10496.75508.68520.90533.41549.42
Payout Ratio28.59%40.87%53.16%65.44%77.72%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)135.45198.28264.05332.87404.84480.07508.21

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate3.41%3.41%3.41%
Growth Rate1.40%2.40%3.40%
Year 1 PV (M)189.88191.75193.62
Year 2 PV (M)242.14246.94251.79
Year 3 PV (M)292.31301.04309.95
Year 4 PV (M)340.44354.07368.11
Year 5 PV (M)386.60406.04426.26
PV of Terminal Value (M)40,925.7442,983.9445,124.12
Equity Value (M)42,377.1244,483.7946,673.84
Shares Outstanding (M)152.00152.00152.00
Fair Value$278.80$292.66$307.07
Upside / Downside383.44%407.48%432.46%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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