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Bouygues S.A. (EN.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$78.80 - $301.04$133.01
Multi-Stage$77.28 - $84.62$80.88
Blended Fair Value$106.94
Current Price$38.32
Upside179.08%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.62%20.63%1.891.771.791.701.701.661.631.491.451.42
YoY Growth--7.00%-1.32%5.10%0.15%2.38%1.77%9.15%2.90%2.60%389.09%
Dividend Yield--5.19%4.68%5.75%5.38%4.97%6.21%5.00%3.67%3.81%3.95%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,046.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)755.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)291.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)209.20130.7578.45
Cash Retained (M)291.00291.00291.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-209.20-130.75-78.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)81.80160.25212.55
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)380.11380.11380.11
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.220.420.56
LTM Dividend per Share1.991.991.99
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.220.420.56
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.202.412.55
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate3.53%4.53%5.53%
Fair Value$78.80$133.01$301.04
Upside / Downside105.64%247.10%685.60%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,046.001,093.361,142.861,194.601,248.691,305.221,344.38
Payout Ratio72.18%75.74%79.31%82.87%86.44%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)755.00828.15906.38989.991,079.311,174.701,243.55

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate3.53%4.53%5.53%
Year 1 PV (M)770.75778.19785.64
Year 2 PV (M)785.08800.32815.71
Year 3 PV (M)798.07821.42845.22
Year 4 PV (M)809.77841.51874.18
Year 5 PV (M)820.24860.63902.59
PV of Terminal Value (M)25,391.1426,641.3627,940.35
Equity Value (M)29,375.0430,743.4232,163.68
Shares Outstanding (M)380.11380.11380.11
Fair Value$77.28$80.88$84.62
Upside / Downside101.67%111.07%120.82%

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