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EBOS Group Limited (EBO.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - DistributionSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$230.86 - $540.38$506.41
Multi-Stage$80.24 - $87.80$83.96
Blended Fair Value$295.18
Current Price$38.40
Upside668.71%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS4.27%8.81%0.760.880.990.880.690.620.540.520.490.40
YoY Growth---13.50%-10.80%11.92%27.24%12.19%14.49%3.85%6.04%23.28%21.41%
Dividend Yield--1.98%2.73%2.69%2.30%2.15%2.85%2.33%2.68%2.78%2.43%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)527.02
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)241.27
(=) Cash Retained (M)285.75
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)105.4065.8839.53
Cash Retained (M)285.75285.75285.75
(-) Cash Required (M)-105.40-65.88-39.53
(=) Excess Retained (M)180.34219.87246.22
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)193.96193.96193.96
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.931.131.27
LTM Dividend per Share1.241.241.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.931.131.27
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.172.382.51
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$230.86$506.41$540.38
Upside / Downside501.21%1,218.78%1,307.23%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)527.02561.28597.76636.61677.99722.06743.72
Payout Ratio45.78%54.62%63.47%72.31%81.16%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)241.27306.59379.39460.35550.23649.86687.94

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)285.20287.90290.60
Year 2 PV (M)328.28334.53340.84
Year 3 PV (M)370.53381.17392.01
Year 4 PV (M)411.97427.82444.11
Year 5 PV (M)452.60474.47497.16
PV of Terminal Value (M)13,715.5714,378.0315,065.85
Equity Value (M)15,564.1516,283.9217,030.58
Shares Outstanding (M)193.96193.96193.96
Fair Value$80.24$83.96$87.80
Upside / Downside108.97%118.63%128.66%

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