Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Frencken Group Limited (E28.SI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.52 - $3.04$2.11
Multi-Stage$2.12 - $2.33$2.22
Blended Fair Value$2.17
Current Price$1.24
Upside74.95%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.44%5.59%0.020.040.040.030.030.020.020.010.010.01
YoY Growth---37.36%-11.86%37.67%0.39%40.79%-9.87%102.31%63.54%-24.91%-28.42%
Dividend Yield--2.17%2.19%3.65%1.52%2.26%2.29%4.24%1.92%1.92%4.12%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)38.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)11.15
(=) Cash Retained (M)27.77
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7.784.862.92
Cash Retained (M)27.7727.7727.77
(-) Cash Required (M)-7.78-4.86-2.92
(=) Excess Retained (M)19.9922.9124.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)427.51427.51427.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.050.050.06
LTM Dividend per Share0.030.030.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.050.050.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.070.080.08
WACC / Discount Rate6.68%6.68%6.68%
Growth Rate1.80%2.80%3.80%
Fair Value$1.52$2.11$3.04
Upside / Downside22.68%70.48%145.30%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)38.9240.0141.1342.2843.4644.6846.02
Payout Ratio28.64%40.91%53.19%65.46%77.73%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)11.1516.3721.8727.6833.7840.2142.57

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.68%6.68%6.68%
Growth Rate1.80%2.80%3.80%
Year 1 PV (M)15.2015.3415.49
Year 2 PV (M)18.8519.2219.60
Year 3 PV (M)22.1422.8023.47
Year 4 PV (M)25.0926.0927.12
Year 5 PV (M)27.7229.1130.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)798.57838.56880.15
Equity Value (M)907.56951.13996.39
Shares Outstanding (M)427.51427.51427.51
Fair Value$2.12$2.22$2.33
Upside / Downside71.20%79.42%87.96%

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