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Crombie Real Estate Investment Trust (CRR-UN.TO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - DiversifiedSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$12.79 - $23.47$17.20
Multi-Stage$21.69 - $23.79$22.72
Blended Fair Value$19.96
Current Price$14.87
Upside34.25%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.670.660.670.740.760.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--1.08%-1.29%-8.80%-3.32%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.71%4.85%4.41%4.02%4.82%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)163.14
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)124.03
(=) Cash Retained (M)39.11
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)32.6320.3912.24
Cash Retained (M)39.1139.1139.11
(-) Cash Required (M)-32.63-20.39-12.24
(=) Excess Retained (M)6.4818.7126.87
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)184.07184.07184.07
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.040.100.15
LTM Dividend per Share0.670.670.67
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.040.100.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.710.780.82
WACC / Discount Rate6.48%6.48%6.48%
Growth Rate0.89%1.89%2.89%
Fair Value$12.79$17.20$23.47
Upside / Downside-14.00%15.67%57.84%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)163.14166.22169.36172.56175.82179.14184.51
Payout Ratio76.03%78.82%81.62%84.41%87.21%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)124.03131.02138.23145.66153.32161.22170.67

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.48%6.48%6.48%
Growth Rate0.89%1.89%2.89%
Year 1 PV (M)121.84123.04124.25
Year 2 PV (M)119.53121.91124.31
Year 3 PV (M)117.13120.64124.23
Year 4 PV (M)114.65119.26124.01
Year 5 PV (M)112.10117.77123.67
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,407.993,580.273,759.45
Equity Value (M)3,993.234,182.904,379.92
Shares Outstanding (M)184.07184.07184.07
Fair Value$21.69$22.72$23.79
Upside / Downside45.89%52.82%60.02%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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