Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Colliers International Group Inc. (CIGI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$274.22 - $529.47$496.19
Multi-Stage$81.18 - $88.94$84.99
Blended Fair Value$290.59
Current Price$130.54
Upside122.61%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS30.08%0.22%0.330.310.300.100.090.090.090.090.080.16
YoY Growth--8.56%3.18%211.24%5.44%1.32%0.87%0.80%11.64%-51.64%-50.02%
Dividend Yield--0.28%0.26%0.28%0.07%0.09%0.19%0.13%0.13%0.17%0.43%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)117.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)15.18
(=) Cash Retained (M)101.92
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)23.4214.648.78
Cash Retained (M)101.92101.92101.92
(-) Cash Required (M)-23.42-14.64-8.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)78.5087.2893.14
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)43.9843.9843.98
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.781.982.12
LTM Dividend per Share0.350.350.35
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.781.982.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.132.332.46
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$274.22$496.19$529.47
Upside / Downside110.06%280.11%305.60%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)117.10124.71132.82141.45150.65160.44165.25
Payout Ratio12.97%28.37%43.78%59.19%74.59%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)15.1835.3858.1583.72112.37144.39152.86

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)32.9733.2833.59
Year 2 PV (M)50.4851.4452.41
Year 3 PV (M)67.7269.6671.64
Year 4 PV (M)84.6987.9491.29
Year 5 PV (M)101.39106.29111.37
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,233.523,389.703,551.86
Equity Value (M)3,570.763,738.323,912.17
Shares Outstanding (M)43.9843.9843.98
Fair Value$81.18$84.99$88.94
Upside / Downside-37.81%-34.89%-31.86%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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