Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Centrale d'Achat Française pour l'Outre-Mer S.A. (CAFO.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty RetailSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$131.54 - $518.78$360.81
Multi-Stage$62.54 - $68.46$65.45
Blended Fair Value$213.13
Current Price$8.56
Upside2,389.80%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS23.88%68.22%0.560.210.030.270.120.190.040.150.020.01
YoY Growth--168.79%689.52%-90.14%122.08%-37.25%427.49%-74.74%784.97%150.82%110.34%
Dividend Yield--6.60%2.19%0.29%1.90%3.57%4.07%0.52%2.02%0.20%0.06%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)24.32
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4.09
(=) Cash Retained (M)20.23
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4.863.041.82
Cash Retained (M)20.2320.2320.23
(-) Cash Required (M)-4.86-3.04-1.82
(=) Excess Retained (M)15.3717.1918.41
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)9.329.329.32
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.651.841.97
LTM Dividend per Share0.440.440.44
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.651.841.97
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.092.282.41
WACC / Discount Rate7.17%7.17%7.17%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$131.54$360.81$518.78
Upside / Downside1,436.69%4,115.02%5,960.53%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)24.3225.9027.5829.3731.2833.3234.32
Payout Ratio16.81%31.45%46.09%60.73%75.36%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4.098.1512.7117.8423.5829.9931.74

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.17%7.17%7.17%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)7.537.607.67
Year 2 PV (M)10.8611.0711.28
Year 3 PV (M)14.0914.4914.90
Year 4 PV (M)17.2117.8718.55
Year 5 PV (M)20.2321.2122.22
PV of Terminal Value (M)513.10537.88563.62
Equity Value (M)583.01610.12638.24
Shares Outstanding (M)9.329.329.32
Fair Value$62.54$65.45$68.46
Upside / Downside630.60%664.57%699.81%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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