Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Banco Pan S.A. (BPAN4.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$31.79 - $115.07$100.55
Multi-Stage$14.66 - $16.03$15.33
Blended Fair Value$57.94
Current Price$7.78
Upside644.76%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS25.78%0.00%0.220.260.240.200.160.070.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---14.69%7.85%16.40%26.66%132.08%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.00%2.81%4.95%2.14%1.66%1.70%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)722.94
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)302.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)420.94
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)144.5990.3754.22
Cash Retained (M)420.94420.94420.94
(-) Cash Required (M)-144.59-90.37-54.22
(=) Excess Retained (M)276.36330.58366.72
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,249.491,249.491,249.49
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.220.260.29
LTM Dividend per Share0.240.240.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.220.260.29
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.460.510.54
WACC / Discount Rate7.04%7.04%7.04%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$31.79$100.55$115.07
Upside / Downside308.59%1,192.46%1,379.02%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)722.94769.94819.98873.28930.04990.501,020.21
Payout Ratio41.77%51.42%61.06%70.71%80.35%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)302.00395.89500.71617.49747.33891.45943.69

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.04%7.04%7.04%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)366.39369.87373.34
Year 2 PV (M)428.88437.05445.29
Year 3 PV (M)489.49503.55517.86
Year 4 PV (M)548.28569.37591.05
Year 5 PV (M)605.28634.51664.87
PV of Terminal Value (M)15,875.1816,641.9517,438.08
Equity Value (M)18,313.5019,156.3020,030.50
Shares Outstanding (M)1,249.491,249.491,249.49
Fair Value$14.66$15.33$16.03
Upside / Downside88.39%97.06%106.05%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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