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PT Formosa Ingredient Factory Tbk (BOBA.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$167.50 - $260.27$210.39
Multi-Stage$391.30 - $430.73$410.63
Blended Fair Value$310.51
Current Price$186.00
Upside66.94%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS0.00%0.00%7.004.009.536.060.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--75.00%-58.02%57.31%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.58%2.52%5.38%2.88%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)20,518.60
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10,401.75
(=) Cash Retained (M)10,116.85
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4,103.722,564.821,538.89
Cash Retained (M)10,116.8510,116.8510,116.85
(-) Cash Required (M)-4,103.72-2,564.82-1,538.89
(=) Excess Retained (M)6,013.137,552.028,577.95
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,155.751,155.751,155.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.206.537.42
LTM Dividend per Share9.009.009.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.206.537.42
(=) Adjusted Dividend14.2015.5316.42
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$167.50$210.39$260.27
Upside / Downside-9.95%13.11%39.93%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)20,518.6020,313.4120,110.2819,909.1819,710.0819,512.9820,098.37
Payout Ratio50.69%58.56%66.42%74.28%82.14%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10,401.7511,894.6013,356.5514,788.0816,189.6417,561.6918,591.00

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)11,075.6111,188.6311,301.65
Year 2 PV (M)11,580.5811,818.1212,058.08
Year 3 PV (M)11,938.9312,308.1512,684.91
Year 4 PV (M)12,170.5112,674.9213,194.85
Year 5 PV (M)12,292.9412,933.0613,599.58
PV of Terminal Value (M)393,189.40413,663.68434,982.13
Equity Value (M)452,247.98474,586.57497,821.20
Shares Outstanding (M)1,155.751,155.751,155.75
Fair Value$391.30$410.63$430.73
Upside / Downside110.38%120.77%131.58%

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