Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

PT Allo Bank Indonesia Tbk (BBHI.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$164.42 - $232.97$198.25
Multi-Stage$255.24 - $279.73$267.25
Blended Fair Value$232.75
Current Price$1,485.00
Upside-84.33%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)544,397.11
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)233,382.95
(=) Cash Retained (M)311,014.15
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)108,879.4268,049.6440,829.78
Cash Retained (M)311,014.15311,014.15311,014.15
(-) Cash Required (M)-108,879.42-68,049.64-40,829.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)202,134.73242,964.52270,184.37
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)21,716.2721,716.2721,716.27
(=) Excess Retained per Share9.3111.1912.44
LTM Dividend per Share10.7510.7510.75
(+) Excess Retained per Share9.3111.1912.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend20.0521.9423.19
WACC / Discount Rate9.95%9.95%9.95%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$164.42$198.25$232.97
Upside / Downside-88.93%-86.65%-84.31%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)544,397.11538,953.14533,563.61528,227.97522,945.69517,716.23533,247.72
Payout Ratio42.87%52.30%61.72%71.15%80.57%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)233,382.95281,850.86329,326.08375,823.60421,358.24465,944.61493,254.14

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.95%9.95%9.95%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)253,747.25256,336.51258,925.76
Year 2 PV (M)266,925.50272,400.75277,931.59
Year 3 PV (M)274,239.48282,720.52291,374.63
Year 4 PV (M)276,808.48288,280.89300,106.28
Year 5 PV (M)275,577.75289,927.73304,869.36
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,195,459.314,413,926.614,641,401.47
Equity Value (M)5,542,757.775,803,593.016,074,609.10
Shares Outstanding (M)21,716.2721,716.2721,716.27
Fair Value$255.24$267.25$279.73
Upside / Downside-82.81%-82.00%-81.16%

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