Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Barrick Mining Corporation (B)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: GoldSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$30.54 - $55.17$40.82
Multi-Stage$23.86 - $26.03$24.93
Blended Fair Value$32.87
Current Price$32.77
Upside0.31%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.90%11.61%0.400.410.660.370.320.320.070.070.050.09
YoY Growth---0.57%-38.76%80.28%15.90%-0.18%338.40%0.00%45.35%-46.25%-31.03%
Dividend Yield--2.08%2.41%3.57%1.50%1.60%1.74%0.54%0.58%0.26%0.68%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,583.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)770.71
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,812.29
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)716.60447.88268.73
Cash Retained (M)2,812.292,812.292,812.29
(-) Cash Required (M)-716.60-447.88-268.73
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,095.692,364.412,543.56
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,723.011,723.011,723.01
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.221.371.48
LTM Dividend per Share0.450.450.45
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.221.371.48
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.661.821.92
WACC / Discount Rate11.25%11.25%11.25%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$30.54$40.82$55.17
Upside / Downside-6.82%24.55%68.37%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,583.003,815.904,063.934,328.084,609.414,909.025,056.29
Payout Ratio21.51%35.21%48.91%62.60%76.30%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)770.711,343.511,987.512,709.563,517.074,418.124,677.07

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate11.25%11.25%11.25%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,196.331,207.671,219.01
Year 2 PV (M)1,575.911,605.931,636.23
Year 3 PV (M)1,913.081,968.002,023.96
Year 4 PV (M)2,211.202,296.232,383.70
Year 5 PV (M)2,473.402,592.872,716.91
PV of Terminal Value (M)31,746.4233,279.7934,871.84
Equity Value (M)41,116.3542,950.4944,851.65
Shares Outstanding (M)1,723.011,723.011,723.01
Fair Value$23.86$24.93$26.03
Upside / Downside-27.18%-23.93%-20.56%

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