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Definitive Analysis

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Acuity Brands, Inc. (AYI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$157.19 - $266.57$204.83
Multi-Stage$164.99 - $180.80$172.75
Blended Fair Value$188.79
Current Price$326.47
Upside-42.17%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-0.19%-0.97%0.650.580.530.570.600.660.660.680.720.72
YoY Growth--13.19%8.33%-7.18%-5.24%-8.17%0.00%-2.80%-5.73%-0.87%0.88%
Dividend Yield--0.20%0.18%0.30%0.30%0.30%0.55%0.50%0.52%0.42%0.29%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)396.60
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)20.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)376.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)79.3249.5829.75
Cash Retained (M)376.00376.00376.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-79.32-49.58-29.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)296.68326.43346.26
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)31.6531.6531.65
(=) Excess Retained per Share9.3710.3110.94
LTM Dividend per Share0.650.650.65
(+) Excess Retained per Share9.3710.3110.94
(=) Adjusted Dividend10.0210.9611.59
WACC / Discount Rate9.41%9.41%9.41%
Growth Rate2.85%3.85%4.85%
Fair Value$157.19$204.83$266.57
Upside / Downside-51.85%-37.26%-18.35%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)396.60411.86427.71444.17461.26479.01493.38
Payout Ratio5.19%22.16%39.12%56.08%73.04%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)20.6091.25167.31249.08336.90431.11456.38

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.41%9.41%9.41%
Growth Rate2.85%3.85%4.85%
Year 1 PV (M)82.6083.4084.21
Year 2 PV (M)137.09139.77142.48
Year 3 PV (M)184.75190.20195.74
Year 4 PV (M)226.21235.13244.32
Year 5 PV (M)262.03275.02288.51
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,329.174,543.774,766.79
Equity Value (M)5,221.855,467.295,722.05
Shares Outstanding (M)31.6531.6531.65
Fair Value$164.99$172.75$180.80
Upside / Downside-49.46%-47.09%-44.62%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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