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A10 Networks, Inc. (ATEN)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - InfrastructureSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.73 - $6.78$5.73
Multi-Stage$7.59 - $8.33$7.96
Blended Fair Value$6.85
Current Price$18.15
Upside-62.28%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.240.240.220.050.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---0.11%11.90%310.36%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.47%1.76%1.39%0.38%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)50.57
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)17.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)33.07
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10.116.323.79
Cash Retained (M)33.0733.0733.07
(-) Cash Required (M)-10.11-6.32-3.79
(=) Excess Retained (M)22.9626.7529.28
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)74.0574.0574.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.310.360.40
LTM Dividend per Share0.240.240.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.310.360.40
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.550.600.63
WACC / Discount Rate9.32%9.32%9.32%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$4.73$5.73$6.78
Upside / Downside-73.93%-68.41%-62.64%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)50.5750.0749.5749.0748.5848.0949.54
Payout Ratio34.61%45.69%56.77%67.84%78.92%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)17.5022.8728.1433.2938.3443.2845.82

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.32%9.32%9.32%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)20.7120.9221.14
Year 2 PV (M)23.0723.5424.02
Year 3 PV (M)24.7225.4826.26
Year 4 PV (M)25.7826.8527.95
Year 5 PV (M)26.3527.7329.16
PV of Terminal Value (M)441.62464.62488.56
Equity Value (M)562.26589.15617.09
Shares Outstanding (M)74.0574.0574.05
Fair Value$7.59$7.96$8.33
Upside / Downside-58.16%-56.16%-54.08%

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