Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Racing Force S.p.A. (ALRFG.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: LeisureSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.33 - $5.10$4.16
Multi-Stage$7.39 - $8.13$7.75
Blended Fair Value$5.96
Current Price$4.60
Upside29.49%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%0.090.090.060.050.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%37.22%31.07%5,951.66%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.28%1.66%1.11%1.14%0.02%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)9.96
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7.08
(=) Cash Retained (M)2.89
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.991.250.75
Cash Retained (M)2.892.892.89
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.99-1.25-0.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.891.642.14
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)26.9226.9226.92
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.030.060.08
LTM Dividend per Share0.260.260.26
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.030.060.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.300.320.34
WACC / Discount Rate6.71%6.71%6.71%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$3.33$4.16$5.10
Upside / Downside-27.57%-9.58%10.95%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)9.969.869.769.679.579.479.76
Payout Ratio71.02%74.81%78.61%82.41%86.20%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7.087.387.687.978.258.539.03

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.71%6.71%6.71%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)6.856.926.99
Year 2 PV (M)6.616.746.88
Year 3 PV (M)6.366.566.76
Year 4 PV (M)6.116.366.62
Year 5 PV (M)5.866.166.48
PV of Terminal Value (M)167.29176.00185.07
Equity Value (M)199.07208.74218.80
Shares Outstanding (M)26.9226.9226.92
Fair Value$7.39$7.75$8.13
Upside / Downside60.74%68.55%76.67%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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