DDM Analysis: ALNSC.PA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$616.90 - $1,471.70	$912.13
Multi-Stage	$2,508.70 - $2,773.00	$2,638.20
Blended Fair Value	$1,775.16
Current Price	$74.00
Upside	2,298.87%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2.31	2.75	2.50	2.75	2.60
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	-16.08%	9.97%	-9.06%	5.84%	7.92%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	3.12%	3.53%	3.56%	3.57%	3.80%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	14.37
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	0.52
(=) Cash Retained (M)	13.85

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	2.87	1.80	1.08
Cash Retained (M)	13.85	13.85	13.85
(-) Cash Required (M)	-2.87	-1.80	-1.08
(=) Excess Retained (M)	10.97	12.05	12.77
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	0.46	0.46	0.46
(=) Excess Retained per Share	23.78	26.11	27.67
LTM Dividend per Share	1.13	1.13	1.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share	23.78	26.11	27.67
(=) Adjusted Dividend	24.91	27.24	28.80
WACC / Discount Rate	1.96%	1.96%	1.96%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$616.90	$912.13	$1,471.70
Upside / Downside	733.65%	1,132.61%	1,888.78%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	14.37	14.22	14.08	13.94	13.80	13.66	14.07
Payout Ratio	3.63%	20.90%	38.18%	55.45%	72.73%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	0.52	2.97	5.38	7.73	10.04	12.30	13.02

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	1.96%	1.96%	1.96%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	2.89	2.92	2.95
Year 2 PV (M)	5.07	5.17	5.28
Year 3 PV (M)	7.07	7.29	7.52
Year 4 PV (M)	8.92	9.29	9.67
Year 5 PV (M)	10.61	11.16	11.74
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,123.03	1,181.51	1,242.40
Equity Value (M)	1,157.58	1,217.34	1,279.54
Shares Outstanding (M)	0.46	0.46	0.46
Fair Value	$2,508.70	$2,638.20	$2,773.00
Upside / Downside	3,290.13%	3,465.13%	3,647.30%

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PVH	PVH Corp.	0.25%	$0.17	2.41%
AEL	American Equity Investment Life Holding Company	0.24%	$0.14	2.19%
CRS	Carpenter Technology Corporation	0.24%	$0.80	9.74%
L	Loews Corporation	0.24%	$0.25	3.58%
PRIM	Primoris Services Corporation	0.23%	$0.30	5.83%
TER	Teradyne, Inc.	0.23%	$0.48	17.39%
FOCS	Focus Financial Partners Inc.	0.22%	$0.12	19.23%
QCRH	QCR Holdings, Inc.	0.22%	$0.18	2.50%
RMAX	RE/MAX Holdings, Inc.	0.22%	$0.02	2.70%
VSEC	VSE Corporation	0.22%	$0.40	30.98%
0J5I.L	Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.	0.21%	$0.60	8.71%
PRVAX	Virginia Tax Free Bond Fund	0.21%	$0.02	89.04%
ACA	Arcosa, Inc.	0.19%	$0.20	6.66%
HWM	Howmet Aerospace Inc.	0.19%	$0.40	11.24%
USLM	United States Lime & Minerals, Inc.	0.19%	$0.23	5.04%
AEIS	Advanced Energy Industries, Inc.	0.18%	$0.40	10.65%
BELFA	Bel Fuse Inc.	0.18%	$0.28	5.31%
TILE	Interface, Inc.	0.18%	$0.05	2.63%
0K05.L	Medifast, Inc.	0.17%	$0.02	78.63%
AYI	Acuity Brands, Inc.	0.17%	$0.65	5.19%
BDC	Belden Inc.	0.17%	$0.20	3.53%
FIX	Comfort Systems USA, Inc.	0.17%	$1.70	7.18%
KNSL	Kinsale Capital Group, Inc.	0.17%	$0.66	3.24%
STCN	Steel Connect, Inc.	0.17%	$0.02	1.98%
VVI	Viad Corp	0.17%	$0.07	0.54%
ALNT	Allient Inc.	0.16%	$0.09	7.91%
CLSK	CleanSpark, Inc.	0.16%	$0.02	1.41%
EME	EMCOR Group, Inc.	0.16%	$1.01	4.01%
ESE	ESCO Technologies Inc.	0.16%	$0.32	2.76%
CW	Curtiss-Wright Corporation	0.15%	$0.87	7.08%
MU	Micron Technology, Inc.	0.15%	$0.46	6.11%
SPCMU	Sound Point Acquisition Corp I, Ltd	0.15%	$0.02	1.33%
ENSG	The Ensign Group, Inc.	0.14%	$0.24	4.34%
JBL	Jabil Inc.	0.14%	$0.33	5.48%
PFIE	Profire Energy, Inc.	0.14%	$0.00	1.99%
0R0A.L	Hecla Mining Company	0.13%	$0.02	5.24%
GNW	Genworth Financial, Inc.	0.13%	$0.01	2.27%
ONIT	Onity Group Inc.	0.13%	$0.06	1.46%
0A7O.L	MicroStrategy Incorporated	0.12%	$0.19	0.73%
0KGS.L	Pegasystems Inc.	0.12%	$0.07	4.63%
PRTAX	T. Rowe Price Tax-Free Income Fd	0.12%	$0.01	89.04%
WDC	Western Digital Corporation	0.12%	$0.22	3.25%
GEV	GE Vernova Inc.	0.11%	$0.75	12.15%
MPLF.L	Marble Point Loan Financing Limited	0.11%	$0.07	92.98%
EPAC	Enerpac Tool Group Corp.	0.10%	$0.04	2.34%
GRBK	Green Brick Partners, Inc.	0.10%	$0.07	0.85%
IR	Ingersoll Rand Inc.	0.10%	$0.08	5.89%
RAL	Ralliant Corp.	0.10%	$0.05	2.75%
TXT	Textron Inc.	0.10%	$0.08	1.79%

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NSC Groupe S.A. (ALNSC.PA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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