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Definitive Analysis

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Albaraka Türk Katilim Bankasi A.S. (ALBRK.IS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$269.75 - $976.47$853.30
Multi-Stage$120.73 - $132.25$126.38
Blended Fair Value$489.84
Current Price$8.18
Upside5,888.25%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.020.020.020.01
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%3.40%-13.65%47.37%8.57%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%1.27%1.23%1.80%0.92%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)12,274.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)431.05
(=) Cash Retained (M)11,843.86
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,454.981,534.36920.62
Cash Retained (M)11,843.8611,843.8611,843.86
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,454.98-1,534.36-920.62
(=) Excess Retained (M)9,388.8810,309.4910,923.24
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,500.012,500.012,500.01
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.764.124.37
LTM Dividend per Share0.170.170.17
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.764.124.37
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.934.304.54
WACC / Discount Rate7.04%7.04%7.04%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$269.75$853.30$976.47
Upside / Downside3,197.73%10,331.49%11,837.23%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)12,274.9013,072.7713,922.5014,827.4615,791.2516,817.6817,322.21
Payout Ratio3.51%20.81%38.11%55.40%72.70%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)431.052,720.355,305.448,215.1011,480.6015,135.9116,023.04

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.04%7.04%7.04%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2,517.662,541.522,565.39
Year 2 PV (M)4,544.294,630.844,718.22
Year 3 PV (M)6,512.226,699.176,889.65
Year 4 PV (M)8,422.748,746.659,079.82
Year 5 PV (M)10,277.0710,773.4511,288.84
PV of Terminal Value (M)269,545.37282,564.51296,081.93
Equity Value (M)301,819.34315,956.14330,623.84
Shares Outstanding (M)2,500.012,500.012,500.01
Fair Value$120.73$126.38$132.25
Upside / Downside1,375.88%1,445.01%1,516.74%

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