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Acorn Energy, Inc. (ACFN)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$14.79 - $20.36$17.60
Multi-Stage$18.78 - $20.62$19.68
Blended Fair Value$18.64
Current Price$16.95
Upside9.98%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-37.52%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.020.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%-90.48%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.01%0.00%0.03%79.53%64.38%2,116.09%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6.67
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.01
(=) Cash Retained (M)6.66
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.330.830.50
Cash Retained (M)6.666.666.66
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.33-0.83-0.50
(=) Excess Retained (M)5.335.836.16
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2.522.522.52
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.112.312.44
LTM Dividend per Share0.000.000.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.112.312.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.112.312.44
WACC / Discount Rate12.00%12.00%12.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$14.79$17.60$20.36
Upside / Downside-12.74%3.84%20.12%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6.676.606.546.476.416.346.53
Payout Ratio0.09%18.07%36.05%54.04%72.02%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.011.192.363.504.615.716.04

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate12.00%12.00%12.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)1.051.071.08
Year 2 PV (M)1.841.881.92
Year 3 PV (M)2.412.492.56
Year 4 PV (M)2.822.933.05
Year 5 PV (M)3.083.243.41
PV of Terminal Value (M)36.2138.0940.06
Equity Value (M)47.4149.7052.07
Shares Outstanding (M)2.522.522.52
Fair Value$18.78$19.68$20.62
Upside / Downside10.79%16.13%21.68%

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