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Definitive Analysis

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Ryomo Systems Co.,Ltd. (9691.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$14,768.22 - $60,952.47$25,369.99
Multi-Stage$9,405.41 - $10,295.50$9,842.28
Blended Fair Value$17,606.14
Current Price$3,135.00
Upside461.60%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202520242023202220212020
DPS17.17%0.00%39.9939.0235.8239.1833.0018.100.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--2.48%8.92%-8.57%18.73%82.27%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.28%1.57%1.66%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,717.60
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)142.72
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,574.88
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)343.52214.70128.82
Cash Retained (M)1,574.881,574.881,574.88
(-) Cash Required (M)-343.52-214.70-128.82
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,231.361,360.181,446.06
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3.503.503.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share351.95388.78413.32
LTM Dividend per Share40.7940.7940.79
(+) Excess Retained per Share351.95388.78413.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend392.75429.57454.11
WACC / Discount Rate8.05%8.05%8.05%
Growth Rate5.25%6.25%7.25%
Fair Value$14,768.22$25,369.99$60,952.47
Upside / Downside371.08%709.25%1,844.26%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,717.601,824.961,939.042,060.242,189.022,325.852,395.63
Payout Ratio8.31%24.65%40.99%57.32%73.66%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)142.72449.81794.731,181.011,612.472,093.262,215.95

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.05%8.05%8.05%
Growth Rate5.25%6.25%7.25%
Year 1 PV (M)412.38416.30420.21
Year 2 PV (M)667.97680.72693.60
Year 3 PV (M)910.04936.23962.91
Year 4 PV (M)1,139.121,183.031,228.20
Year 5 PV (M)1,355.721,421.361,489.52
PV of Terminal Value (M)28,420.8529,796.9031,225.75
Equity Value (M)32,906.0834,434.5436,020.19
Shares Outstanding (M)3.503.503.50
Fair Value$9,405.41$9,842.28$10,295.50
Upside / Downside200.01%213.95%228.41%

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