Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Amwaj International Company (9537.SR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Furnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$9.76 - $15.06$12.23
Multi-Stage$23.15 - $25.43$24.27
Blended Fair Value$18.25
Current Price$48.80
Upside-62.61%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS-21.40%0.00%1.001.500.003.330.003.330.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---33.33%0.00%-100.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.05%2.99%0.00%3.56%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6.36
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)0.36
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.270.790.48
Cash Retained (M)0.360.360.36
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.27-0.79-0.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)-0.91-0.44-0.12
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)6.006.006.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.15-0.07-0.02
LTM Dividend per Share1.001.001.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.15-0.07-0.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.850.930.98
WACC / Discount Rate6.44%6.44%6.44%
Growth Rate-2.06%-1.06%-0.06%
Fair Value$9.76$12.23$15.06
Upside / Downside-79.99%-74.95%-69.13%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6.366.296.226.166.096.036.21
Payout Ratio94.38%93.50%92.63%91.75%90.88%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6.005.885.765.655.545.435.74

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.44%6.44%6.44%
Growth Rate-2.06%-1.06%-0.06%
Year 1 PV (M)5.475.535.58
Year 2 PV (M)4.995.095.19
Year 3 PV (M)4.544.684.83
Year 4 PV (M)4.144.314.49
Year 5 PV (M)3.773.974.17
PV of Terminal Value (M)115.97122.01128.30
Equity Value (M)138.88145.59152.57
Shares Outstanding (M)6.006.006.00
Fair Value$23.15$24.27$25.43
Upside / Downside-52.57%-50.28%-47.89%

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