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Nareru Group Inc. (9163.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,437.21 - $3,771.37$3,055.83
Multi-Stage$5,548.70 - $6,108.79$5,823.24
Blended Fair Value$4,439.53
Current Price$2,336.00
Upside90.05%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021
DPS0.00%0.00%139.990.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.69%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,297.58
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,002.05
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,295.53
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)459.52287.20172.32
Cash Retained (M)1,295.531,295.531,295.53
(-) Cash Required (M)-459.52-287.20-172.32
(=) Excess Retained (M)836.021,008.331,123.21
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)8.788.788.78
(=) Excess Retained per Share95.24114.87127.96
LTM Dividend per Share114.15114.15114.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share95.24114.87127.96
(=) Adjusted Dividend209.39229.03242.11
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$2,437.21$3,055.83$3,771.37
Upside / Downside4.33%30.81%61.45%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,297.582,274.602,251.862,229.342,207.042,184.972,250.52
Payout Ratio43.61%52.89%62.17%71.45%80.72%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,002.051,203.051,399.931,592.761,781.581,966.482,081.73

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)1,119.061,130.471,141.89
Year 2 PV (M)1,211.281,236.121,261.22
Year 3 PV (M)1,281.901,321.551,362.00
Year 4 PV (M)1,333.771,389.051,446.03
Year 5 PV (M)1,369.401,440.711,514.96
PV of Terminal Value (M)42,390.9544,598.3446,896.75
Equity Value (M)48,706.3651,116.2553,622.86
Shares Outstanding (M)8.788.788.78
Fair Value$5,548.70$5,823.24$6,108.79
Upside / Downside137.53%149.28%161.51%

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