Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $119,788.28 - $228,143.72 | $163,438.61 |
| Multi-Stage | $168,563.65 - $184,666.80 | $176,463.81 |
| Blended Fair Value | $169,951.21 | |
| Current Price | $74,700.00 | |
| Upside | 127.51% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2017 | 2017 | 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 5.77% | 3.73% | 3,591.76 | 2,843.23 | 2,501.02 | 2,857.76 | 2,778.87 | 2,712.85 | 3,194.04 | 2,659.62 | 2,985.24 | 2,772.55 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 26.33% | 13.68% | -12.48% | 2.84% | 2.43% | -15.07% | 20.09% | -10.91% | 7.67% | 11.31% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 5.87% | 4.08% | 3.30% | 4.00% | 3.58% | 4.15% | 3.71% | 3.16% | 3.47% | 2.85% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 27,491.49 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 18,838.96 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 8,652.53 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 5,498.30 | 3,436.44 | 2,061.86 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 8,652.53 | 8,652.53 | 8,652.53 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -5,498.30 | -3,436.44 | -2,061.86 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 3,154.23 | 5,216.09 | 6,590.67 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 3.56 | 3.56 | 3.56 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 886.02 | 1,465.20 | 1,851.31 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 5,291.84 | 5,291.84 | 5,291.84 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 886.02 | 1,465.20 | 1,851.31 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 6,177.86 | 6,757.04 | 7,143.16 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 7.04% | 7.04% | 7.04% |
| Growth Rate | 1.79% | 2.79% | 3.79% |
| Fair Value | $119,788.28 | $163,438.61 | $228,143.72 |
| Upside / Downside | 60.36% | 118.79% | 205.41% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 27,491.49 | 28,258.76 | 29,047.44 | 29,858.13 | 30,691.44 | 31,548.02 | 32,494.46 |
| Payout Ratio | 68.53% | 72.82% | 77.12% | 81.41% | 85.71% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 18,838.96 | 20,578.37 | 22,400.20 | 24,307.68 | 26,304.20 | 28,393.22 | 30,057.37 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 7.04% | 7.04% | 7.04% |
| Growth Rate | 1.79% | 2.79% | 3.79% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 19,037.80 | 19,224.83 | 19,411.86 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 19,171.82 | 19,550.36 | 19,932.60 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 19,246.90 | 19,819.74 | 20,403.83 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 19,268.50 | 20,036.92 | 20,828.08 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 19,241.69 | 20,205.61 | 21,207.77 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 504,119.86 | 529,373.72 | 555,629.65 |
| Equity Value (M) | 600,086.58 | 628,211.16 | 657,413.79 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 3.56 | 3.56 | 3.56 |
| Fair Value | $168,563.65 | $176,463.81 | $184,666.80 |
| Upside / Downside | 125.65% | 136.23% | 147.21% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTBT | Bit Digital, Inc. | 0.25% | $0.01 | 1.17% |
| PVH | PVH Corp. | 0.25% | $0.17 | 2.41% |
| AEL | American Equity Investment Life Holding Company | 0.24% | $0.14 | 2.19% |
| CRS | Carpenter Technology Corporation | 0.24% | $0.80 | 9.74% |
| L | Loews Corporation | 0.24% | $0.25 | 3.58% |
| PRIM | Primoris Services Corporation | 0.23% | $0.30 | 5.83% |
| TER | Teradyne, Inc. | 0.23% | $0.48 | 17.39% |
| FOCS | Focus Financial Partners Inc. | 0.22% | $0.12 | 19.23% |
| QCRH | QCR Holdings, Inc. | 0.22% | $0.18 | 2.50% |
| RMAX | RE/MAX Holdings, Inc. | 0.22% | $0.02 | 2.70% |
| VSEC | VSE Corporation | 0.22% | $0.40 | 30.98% |
| 0J5I.L | Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. | 0.21% | $0.60 | 8.71% |
| PRVAX | Virginia Tax Free Bond Fund | 0.21% | $0.02 | 89.04% |
| ACA | Arcosa, Inc. | 0.19% | $0.20 | 6.66% |
| HWM | Howmet Aerospace Inc. | 0.19% | $0.40 | 11.24% |
| USLM | United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. | 0.19% | $0.23 | 5.04% |
| AEIS | Advanced Energy Industries, Inc. | 0.18% | $0.40 | 10.65% |
| BELFA | Bel Fuse Inc. | 0.18% | $0.28 | 5.31% |
| TILE | Interface, Inc. | 0.18% | $0.05 | 2.63% |
| 0K05.L | Medifast, Inc. | 0.17% | $0.02 | 78.63% |
| AYI | Acuity Brands, Inc. | 0.17% | $0.65 | 5.19% |
| BDC | Belden Inc. | 0.17% | $0.20 | 3.53% |
| FIX | Comfort Systems USA, Inc. | 0.17% | $1.70 | 7.18% |
| KNSL | Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. | 0.17% | $0.66 | 3.24% |
| STCN | Steel Connect, Inc. | 0.17% | $0.02 | 1.98% |
| VVI | Viad Corp | 0.17% | $0.07 | 0.54% |
| ALNT | Allient Inc. | 0.16% | $0.09 | 7.91% |
| CLSK | CleanSpark, Inc. | 0.16% | $0.02 | 1.41% |
| EME | EMCOR Group, Inc. | 0.16% | $1.01 | 4.01% |
| ESE | ESCO Technologies Inc. | 0.16% | $0.32 | 2.76% |
| CW | Curtiss-Wright Corporation | 0.15% | $0.87 | 7.08% |
| MU | Micron Technology, Inc. | 0.15% | $0.46 | 6.11% |
| SPCMU | Sound Point Acquisition Corp I, Ltd | 0.15% | $0.02 | 1.33% |
| ENSG | The Ensign Group, Inc. | 0.14% | $0.24 | 4.34% |
| JBL | Jabil Inc. | 0.14% | $0.33 | 5.48% |
| PFIE | Profire Energy, Inc. | 0.14% | $0.00 | 1.99% |
| 0R0A.L | Hecla Mining Company | 0.13% | $0.02 | 5.24% |
| GNW | Genworth Financial, Inc. | 0.13% | $0.01 | 2.27% |
| ONIT | Onity Group Inc. | 0.13% | $0.06 | 1.46% |
| 0A7O.L | MicroStrategy Incorporated | 0.12% | $0.19 | 0.73% |
| 0KGS.L | Pegasystems Inc. | 0.12% | $0.07 | 4.63% |
| PRTAX | T. Rowe Price Tax-Free Income Fd | 0.12% | $0.01 | 89.04% |
| WDC | Western Digital Corporation | 0.12% | $0.22 | 3.25% |
| GEV | GE Vernova Inc. | 0.11% | $0.75 | 12.15% |
| MPLF.L | Marble Point Loan Financing Limited | 0.11% | $0.07 | 92.98% |
| EPAC | Enerpac Tool Group Corp. | 0.10% | $0.04 | 2.34% |
| GRBK | Green Brick Partners, Inc. | 0.10% | $0.07 | 0.85% |
| IR | Ingersoll Rand Inc. | 0.10% | $0.08 | 5.89% |
| RAL | Ralliant Corp. | 0.10% | $0.05 | 2.75% |
| TXT | Textron Inc. | 0.10% | $0.08 | 1.79% |