Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Advanced Power Electronics Co., Ltd. (8261.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$106.39 - $258.10$158.15
Multi-Stage$103.52 - $113.28$108.31
Blended Fair Value$133.23
Current Price$81.40
Upside63.67%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS29.36%0.00%2.484.934.100.680.340.680.310.480.690.61
YoY Growth---49.77%20.21%500.00%100.00%-50.00%122.28%-35.67%-30.27%12.25%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.07%5.54%3.94%0.62%0.58%3.84%1.05%1.77%2.44%2.41%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)594.17
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)294.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)299.46
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)118.8374.2744.56
Cash Retained (M)299.46299.46299.46
(-) Cash Required (M)-118.83-74.27-44.56
(=) Excess Retained (M)180.63225.19254.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)119.06119.06119.06
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.521.892.14
LTM Dividend per Share2.482.482.48
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.521.892.14
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.994.374.62
WACC / Discount Rate7.54%7.54%7.54%
Growth Rate3.65%4.65%5.65%
Fair Value$106.39$158.15$258.10
Upside / Downside30.70%94.28%217.08%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)594.17621.79650.70680.95712.61745.74768.11
Payout Ratio49.60%57.68%65.76%73.84%81.92%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)294.70358.65427.90502.81583.77671.17710.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.54%7.54%7.54%
Growth Rate3.65%4.65%5.65%
Year 1 PV (M)330.32333.50336.69
Year 2 PV (M)362.97370.01377.11
Year 3 PV (M)392.83404.31416.01
Year 4 PV (M)420.05436.50453.42
Year 5 PV (M)444.79466.66489.39
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,374.1310,884.3211,414.40
Equity Value (M)12,325.0912,895.3113,487.02
Shares Outstanding (M)119.06119.06119.06
Fair Value$103.52$108.31$113.28
Upside / Downside27.18%33.06%39.17%

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