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Definitive Analysis

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ZACROS Corporation (7917.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaging & ContainersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,797.75 - $4,213.64$2,642.05
Multi-Stage$1,849.35 - $2,027.19$1,936.61
Blended Fair Value$2,289.33
Current Price$940.00
Upside143.55%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS8.57%5.27%26.0721.1121.3720.3517.7917.2816.7716.7716.7716.12
YoY Growth--23.47%-1.19%4.99%14.41%2.94%3.03%0.00%0.00%4.06%3.34%
Dividend Yield--2.77%2.00%2.39%2.34%1.75%1.84%2.29%1.84%1.90%3.35%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6,556.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,562.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)4,994.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,311.20819.50491.70
Cash Retained (M)4,994.004,994.004,994.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,311.20-819.50-491.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)3,682.804,174.504,502.30
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)74.8974.8974.89
(=) Excess Retained per Share49.1855.7460.12
LTM Dividend per Share20.8620.8620.86
(+) Excess Retained per Share49.1855.7460.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend70.0376.6080.98
WACC / Discount Rate7.29%7.29%7.29%
Growth Rate3.27%4.27%5.27%
Fair Value$1,797.75$2,642.05$4,213.64
Upside / Downside91.25%181.07%348.26%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6,556.006,835.937,127.817,432.157,749.488,080.378,322.78
Payout Ratio23.83%37.06%50.30%63.53%76.77%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,562.002,533.423,584.954,721.665,948.907,272.337,698.57

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.29%7.29%7.29%
Growth Rate3.27%4.27%5.27%
Year 1 PV (M)2,338.582,361.222,383.87
Year 2 PV (M)3,054.723,114.173,174.18
Year 3 PV (M)3,713.873,822.813,933.85
Year 4 PV (M)4,319.294,489.044,663.74
Year 5 PV (M)4,874.095,114.705,364.71
PV of Terminal Value (M)120,194.52126,127.76132,293.04
Equity Value (M)138,495.07145,029.69151,813.39
Shares Outstanding (M)74.8974.8974.89
Fair Value$1,849.35$1,936.61$2,027.19
Upside / Downside96.74%106.02%115.66%

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