Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Genii Ideas Co., Ltd. (7631.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$97.72 - $236.16$145.10
Multi-Stage$397.37 - $438.98$417.76
Blended Fair Value$281.43
Current Price$140.00
Upside101.02%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021
DPS0.00%0.00%3.125.837.771.090.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---46.56%-24.94%611.27%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.93%5.21%6.32%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)91.87
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)43.92
(=) Cash Retained (M)47.95
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)18.3711.486.89
Cash Retained (M)47.9547.9547.95
(-) Cash Required (M)-18.37-11.48-6.89
(=) Excess Retained (M)29.5836.4741.06
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)18.8618.8618.86
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.571.932.18
LTM Dividend per Share2.332.332.33
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.571.932.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.904.264.51
WACC / Discount Rate1.91%1.91%1.91%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$97.72$145.10$236.16
Upside / Downside-30.20%3.65%68.69%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)91.8790.9590.0489.1488.2587.3789.99
Payout Ratio47.81%56.25%64.68%73.12%81.56%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)43.9251.1658.2465.1871.9878.6383.24

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.91%1.91%1.91%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)49.6950.2050.71
Year 2 PV (M)54.9556.0857.22
Year 3 PV (M)59.7461.5963.47
Year 4 PV (M)64.0866.7469.47
Year 5 PV (M)68.0071.5475.23
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,198.507,573.347,963.64
Equity Value (M)7,494.967,879.498,279.74
Shares Outstanding (M)18.8618.8618.86
Fair Value$397.37$417.76$438.98
Upside / Downside183.84%198.40%213.56%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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