Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Pan Pacific International Holdings Corporation (7532.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Discount StoresSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,306.29 - $6,004.93$2,959.12
Multi-Stage$679.06 - $743.04$710.46
Blended Fair Value$1,834.79
Current Price$991.80
Upside85.00%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS25.00%21.80%6.774.183.583.353.172.221.951.371.161.05
YoY Growth--62.00%16.72%6.98%5.52%42.97%13.61%42.33%18.22%10.13%11.82%
Dividend Yield--0.68%0.57%0.57%0.65%0.68%0.45%0.54%0.48%0.55%0.57%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)90,512.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)20,297.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)70,215.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)18,102.4011,314.006,788.40
Cash Retained (M)70,215.0070,215.0070,215.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-18,102.40-11,314.00-6,788.40
(=) Excess Retained (M)52,112.6058,901.0063,426.60
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,997.632,997.632,997.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share17.3819.6521.16
LTM Dividend per Share6.776.776.77
(+) Excess Retained per Share17.3819.6521.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend24.1626.4227.93
WACC / Discount Rate7.45%7.45%7.45%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,306.29$2,959.12$6,004.93
Upside / Downside31.71%198.36%505.46%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)90,512.0096,395.28102,660.97109,333.94116,440.64124,009.28127,729.56
Payout Ratio22.42%35.94%49.45%62.97%76.48%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)20,297.0034,644.1950,770.7768,847.4389,059.54111,608.36118,149.85

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.45%7.45%7.45%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)31,939.1532,241.8932,544.63
Year 2 PV (M)43,151.8643,973.7844,803.46
Year 3 PV (M)53,946.8955,495.5157,073.49
Year 4 PV (M)64,335.7066,809.8769,354.73
Year 5 PV (M)74,329.5077,919.6481,647.19
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,767,877.971,853,267.141,941,924.35
Equity Value (M)2,035,581.072,129,707.842,227,347.84
Shares Outstanding (M)2,997.632,997.632,997.63
Fair Value$679.06$710.46$743.04
Upside / Downside-31.53%-28.37%-25.08%

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