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Greenyn Biotechnology Co., Ltd (6846.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: BiotechnologySector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$105.79 - $252.66$156.45
Multi-Stage$97.11 - $106.09$101.52
Blended Fair Value$128.98
Current Price$78.30
Upside64.73%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS57.24%0.00%3.293.337.001.691.050.340.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---1.36%-52.44%314.47%61.00%207.03%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.13%4.17%6.20%2.04%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)143.39
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)97.14
(=) Cash Retained (M)46.25
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)28.6817.9210.75
Cash Retained (M)46.2546.2546.25
(-) Cash Required (M)-28.68-17.92-10.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)17.5728.3235.49
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)28.5828.5828.58
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.610.991.24
LTM Dividend per Share3.403.403.40
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.610.991.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.014.394.64
WACC / Discount Rate8.02%8.02%8.02%
Growth Rate4.08%5.08%6.08%
Fair Value$105.79$156.45$252.66
Upside / Downside35.11%99.80%222.68%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)143.39150.67158.31166.35174.79183.67189.18
Payout Ratio67.75%72.20%76.65%81.10%85.55%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)97.14108.78121.34134.91149.53165.30174.99

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.02%8.02%8.02%
Growth Rate4.08%5.08%6.08%
Year 1 PV (M)99.74100.70101.66
Year 2 PV (M)102.02103.99105.98
Year 3 PV (M)104.00107.02110.11
Year 4 PV (M)105.69109.81114.05
Year 5 PV (M)107.13112.37117.82
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,257.132,367.672,482.50
Equity Value (M)2,775.702,901.573,032.12
Shares Outstanding (M)28.5828.5828.58
Fair Value$97.11$101.52$106.09
Upside / Downside24.03%29.65%35.49%

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