Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Kubota Corporation (6326.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5,643.07 - $29,917.69$11,217.53
Multi-Stage$3,820.27 - $4,183.28$3,998.42
Blended Fair Value$7,607.97
Current Price$1,863.00
Upside308.37%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.99%4.38%50.0647.3644.7342.0138.1237.4335.3733.3930.2832.48
YoY Growth--5.71%5.86%6.48%10.22%1.83%5.82%5.92%10.28%-6.76%-0.37%
Dividend Yield--2.73%1.99%2.24%1.82%1.51%2.71%2.20%1.79%1.81%2.11%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)174,483.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)57,178.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)117,305.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)34,896.6021,810.3813,086.23
Cash Retained (M)117,305.00117,305.00117,305.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-34,896.60-21,810.38-13,086.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)82,408.4095,494.63104,218.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,150.501,150.501,150.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share71.6383.0090.59
LTM Dividend per Share49.7049.7049.70
(+) Excess Retained per Share71.6383.0090.59
(=) Adjusted Dividend121.33132.70140.28
WACC / Discount Rate6.88%6.88%6.88%
Growth Rate4.63%5.63%6.63%
Fair Value$5,643.07$11,217.53$29,917.69
Upside / Downside202.90%502.12%1,505.89%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)174,483.00184,311.45194,693.52205,660.41217,245.05229,482.24236,366.71
Payout Ratio32.77%44.22%55.66%67.11%78.55%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)57,178.0081,495.08108,370.26138,014.55170,654.66206,534.02218,639.21

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.88%6.88%6.88%
Growth Rate4.63%5.63%6.63%
Year 1 PV (M)75,525.5476,247.3576,969.17
Year 2 PV (M)93,075.4194,862.9996,667.58
Year 3 PV (M)109,853.05113,032.92116,273.57
Year 4 PV (M)125,883.21130,765.02135,787.46
Year 5 PV (M)141,189.92148,067.04155,209.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,849,706.224,037,218.854,231,968.05
Equity Value (M)4,395,233.354,600,194.174,812,875.39
Shares Outstanding (M)1,150.501,150.501,150.50
Fair Value$3,820.27$3,998.42$4,183.28
Upside / Downside105.06%114.62%124.55%

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