Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Hosokawa Micron Corporation (6277.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$24,797.53 - $60,714.23$56,898.13
Multi-Stage$8,876.12 - $9,712.99$9,286.88
Blended Fair Value$33,092.50
Current Price$5,820.00
Upside468.60%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS16.74%11.95%130.15101.6382.3481.9460.0260.0263.1255.1649.3642.28
YoY Growth--28.07%23.42%0.49%36.52%0.00%-4.91%14.43%11.75%16.75%0.48%
Dividend Yield--2.24%2.41%2.09%3.05%1.76%1.89%2.69%2.63%1.22%2.24%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,527.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,930.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,597.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)905.40565.88339.53
Cash Retained (M)2,597.002,597.002,597.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-905.40-565.88-339.53
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,691.602,031.132,257.48
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)14.8314.8314.83
(=) Excess Retained per Share114.08136.97152.24
LTM Dividend per Share130.15130.15130.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share114.08136.97152.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend244.23267.13282.39
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$24,797.53$56,898.13$60,714.23
Upside / Downside326.07%877.63%943.20%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,527.004,821.265,134.645,468.395,823.836,202.386,388.45
Payout Ratio42.63%52.11%61.58%71.05%80.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,930.002,512.193,161.903,885.474,689.745,582.145,909.32

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2,335.852,357.992,380.14
Year 2 PV (M)2,733.612,785.682,838.23
Year 3 PV (M)3,123.383,213.043,304.40
Year 4 PV (M)3,505.293,640.103,778.75
Year 5 PV (M)3,879.464,066.844,261.39
PV of Terminal Value (M)116,042.81121,647.72127,467.15
Equity Value (M)131,620.40137,711.37144,030.06
Shares Outstanding (M)14.8314.8314.83
Fair Value$8,876.12$9,286.88$9,712.99
Upside / Downside52.51%59.57%66.89%

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