Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Full Wang International Development Co., Ltd. (6219.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - DiversifiedSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$85.48 - $172.00$161.19
Multi-Stage$27.19 - $29.73$28.44
Blended Fair Value$94.81
Current Price$20.70
Upside358.04%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.312.490.811.440.930.130.170.87
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%-87.50%206.71%-43.72%54.88%636.40%-24.38%-80.85%-51.19%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%1.87%9.55%2.02%7.36%4.07%0.73%0.92%4.49%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)106.96
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)83.31
(=) Cash Retained (M)23.65
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)21.3913.378.02
Cash Retained (M)23.6523.6523.65
(-) Cash Required (M)-21.39-13.37-8.02
(=) Excess Retained (M)2.2610.2815.63
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)123.67123.67123.67
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.020.080.13
LTM Dividend per Share0.670.670.67
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.020.080.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.690.760.80
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$85.48$161.19$172.00
Upside / Downside312.94%678.71%730.94%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)106.96113.92121.32129.21137.60146.55150.95
Payout Ratio77.89%80.31%82.73%85.16%87.58%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)83.3191.49100.37110.03120.51131.89139.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)85.2186.0286.83
Year 2 PV (M)87.0888.7490.41
Year 3 PV (M)88.9191.4694.06
Year 4 PV (M)90.7094.1997.78
Year 5 PV (M)92.4696.93101.57
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,918.413,059.373,205.73
Equity Value (M)3,362.783,516.713,676.37
Shares Outstanding (M)123.67123.67123.67
Fair Value$27.19$28.44$29.73
Upside / Downside31.36%37.37%43.61%

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