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Definitive Analysis

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Charm Care Corporation (6062.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Care FacilitiesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3,901.36 - $17,853.77$8,879.74
Multi-Stage$2,042.13 - $2,233.47$2,136.05
Blended Fair Value$5,507.90
Current Price$1,296.00
Upside324.99%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS47.59%44.64%29.9721.9216.9411.966.484.282.151.500.750.75
YoY Growth--36.68%29.42%41.65%84.60%51.39%99.26%43.53%99.18%0.79%-0.31%
Dividend Yield--2.31%1.60%1.45%1.14%0.36%0.36%0.20%0.17%0.14%0.35%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,936.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)979.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,957.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)587.20367.00220.20
Cash Retained (M)1,957.001,957.001,957.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-587.20-367.00-220.20
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,369.801,590.001,736.80
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)32.7032.7032.70
(=) Excess Retained per Share41.8848.6253.11
LTM Dividend per Share29.9329.9329.93
(+) Excess Retained per Share41.8848.6253.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend71.8278.5583.04
WACC / Discount Rate7.44%7.44%7.44%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$3,901.36$8,879.74$17,853.77
Upside / Downside201.03%585.17%1,277.61%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,936.003,126.843,330.083,546.543,777.074,022.574,143.25
Payout Ratio33.34%44.68%56.01%67.34%78.67%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)979.001,396.941,865.072,388.162,971.383,620.323,832.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.44%7.44%7.44%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,287.971,300.181,312.39
Year 2 PV (M)1,585.451,615.651,646.13
Year 3 PV (M)1,871.761,925.491,980.24
Year 4 PV (M)2,147.192,229.772,314.70
Year 5 PV (M)2,412.062,528.562,649.52
PV of Terminal Value (M)57,482.2760,258.6963,141.36
Equity Value (M)66,786.7069,858.3373,044.34
Shares Outstanding (M)32.7032.7032.70
Fair Value$2,042.13$2,136.05$2,233.47
Upside / Downside57.57%64.82%72.34%

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