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Definitive Analysis

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OmniVision Integrated Circuits Group, Inc. (603501.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$68.54 - $153.46$99.17
Multi-Stage$48.62 - $53.14$50.84
Blended Fair Value$75.01
Current Price$151.17
Upside-50.38%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS15.59%39.14%0.540.470.680.470.340.260.120.030.000.03
YoY Growth--15.59%-30.87%44.80%37.78%29.47%127.29%353.40%0.00%-100.00%70.88%
Dividend Yield--0.41%0.47%0.74%0.33%0.18%0.23%0.29%0.08%0.00%0.45%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,158.16
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)428.51
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,729.65
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)831.63519.77311.86
Cash Retained (M)3,729.653,729.653,729.65
(-) Cash Required (M)-831.63-519.77-311.86
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,898.013,209.883,417.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,212.831,212.831,212.83
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.392.652.82
LTM Dividend per Share0.350.350.35
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.392.652.82
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.743.003.17
WACC / Discount Rate9.72%9.72%9.72%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$68.54$99.17$153.46
Upside / Downside-54.66%-34.40%1.51%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,158.164,428.444,716.295,022.845,349.335,697.045,867.95
Payout Ratio10.31%26.24%42.18%58.12%74.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)428.511,162.211,989.482,919.383,961.775,127.335,427.85

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.72%9.72%9.72%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,049.291,059.241,069.18
Year 2 PV (M)1,621.671,652.551,683.73
Year 3 PV (M)2,148.442,210.122,272.96
Year 4 PV (M)2,632.282,733.512,837.64
Year 5 PV (M)3,075.713,224.273,378.51
PV of Terminal Value (M)48,440.8650,780.5753,209.83
Equity Value (M)58,968.2661,660.2664,451.86
Shares Outstanding (M)1,212.831,212.831,212.83
Fair Value$48.62$50.84$53.14
Upside / Downside-67.84%-66.37%-64.85%

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