Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Miura Co., Ltd. (6005.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$17,693.60 - $43,320.98$40,598.10
Multi-Stage$6,269.38 - $6,864.06$6,561.25
Blended Fair Value$23,579.68
Current Price$2,909.50
Upside710.44%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS8.64%10.25%51.5047.0240.0436.9934.0634.0330.1122.3420.3920.38
YoY Growth--9.54%17.41%8.25%8.60%0.10%13.00%34.82%9.53%0.04%5.03%
Dividend Yield--1.77%1.42%1.07%1.38%0.71%0.76%0.89%0.83%0.93%0.89%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)25,209.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6,975.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)18,234.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5,041.803,151.131,890.68
Cash Retained (M)18,234.0018,234.0018,234.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-5,041.80-3,151.13-1,890.68
(=) Excess Retained (M)13,192.2015,082.8816,343.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)115.73115.73115.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share113.99130.33141.22
LTM Dividend per Share60.2760.2760.27
(+) Excess Retained per Share113.99130.33141.22
(=) Adjusted Dividend174.26190.60201.49
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$17,693.60$40,598.10$43,320.98
Upside / Downside508.13%1,295.36%1,388.95%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)25,209.0026,847.5928,592.6830,451.2032,430.5334,538.5135,574.67
Payout Ratio27.67%40.13%52.60%65.07%77.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6,975.0010,775.2715,040.1019,813.8325,144.6031,084.6632,906.57

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)10,018.9410,113.9110,208.88
Year 2 PV (M)13,002.8513,250.5213,500.52
Year 3 PV (M)15,927.6016,384.8216,850.71
Year 4 PV (M)18,794.0619,516.8320,260.24
Year 5 PV (M)21,603.0922,646.5323,729.90
PV of Terminal Value (M)646,194.66677,406.11709,812.09
Equity Value (M)725,541.21759,318.71794,362.34
Shares Outstanding (M)115.73115.73115.73
Fair Value$6,269.38$6,561.25$6,864.06
Upside / Downside115.48%125.51%135.92%

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