Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Nam Liong Global Corporation (5450.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.68 - $15.29$10.65
Multi-Stage$37.34 - $41.25$39.25
Blended Fair Value$24.95
Current Price$14.70
Upside69.75%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.220.570.530.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---61.54%8.33%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.30%2.90%2.29%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)66.64
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)30.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)36.05
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)13.338.335.00
Cash Retained (M)36.0536.0536.05
(-) Cash Required (M)-13.33-8.33-5.00
(=) Excess Retained (M)22.7227.7231.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)138.73138.73138.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.160.200.22
LTM Dividend per Share0.220.220.22
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.160.200.22
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.380.420.44
WACC / Discount Rate2.91%2.91%2.91%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$7.68$10.65$15.29
Upside / Downside-47.77%-27.52%4.04%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)66.6465.9865.3264.6664.0263.3865.28
Payout Ratio45.91%54.73%63.55%72.37%81.18%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)30.6036.1141.5146.7951.9757.0460.38

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.91%2.91%2.91%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)34.7435.0935.44
Year 2 PV (M)38.4139.2039.99
Year 3 PV (M)41.6542.9444.26
Year 4 PV (M)44.5046.3548.25
Year 5 PV (M)46.9849.4351.98
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,973.685,232.675,502.34
Equity Value (M)5,179.965,445.675,722.25
Shares Outstanding (M)138.73138.73138.73
Fair Value$37.34$39.25$41.25
Upside / Downside154.00%167.03%180.59%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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