Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Primax Electronics Ltd. (4915.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Computer HardwareSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$57.94 - $91.45$73.26
Multi-Stage$112.24 - $123.22$117.63
Blended Fair Value$95.45
Current Price$72.90
Upside30.93%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS10.69%18.23%3.943.813.002.882.292.373.042.361.971.68
YoY Growth--3.34%26.97%4.16%25.82%-3.38%-22.07%28.62%19.82%17.30%127.92%
Dividend Yield--4.75%4.60%4.97%5.53%3.60%6.14%5.07%3.80%3.96%4.45%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,721.41
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,851.73
(=) Cash Retained (M)869.69
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)544.28340.18204.11
Cash Retained (M)869.69869.69869.69
(-) Cash Required (M)-544.28-340.18-204.11
(=) Excess Retained (M)325.40529.51665.58
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)470.54470.54470.54
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.691.131.41
LTM Dividend per Share3.943.943.94
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.691.131.41
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.635.065.35
WACC / Discount Rate7.01%7.01%7.01%
Growth Rate-0.91%0.09%1.09%
Fair Value$57.94$73.26$91.45
Upside / Downside-20.53%0.50%25.45%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,721.412,723.972,726.522,729.082,731.642,734.212,816.23
Payout Ratio68.04%72.43%76.83%81.22%85.61%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,851.731,973.092,094.672,216.482,338.522,460.792,605.02

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.01%7.01%7.01%
Growth Rate-0.91%0.09%1.09%
Year 1 PV (M)1,825.451,843.871,862.29
Year 2 PV (M)1,792.941,829.301,866.04
Year 3 PV (M)1,755.241,808.921,863.68
Year 4 PV (M)1,713.321,783.541,855.89
Year 5 PV (M)1,668.001,753.881,843.26
PV of Terminal Value (M)44,059.6146,328.0648,688.99
Equity Value (M)52,814.5655,347.5757,980.15
Shares Outstanding (M)470.54470.54470.54
Fair Value$112.24$117.63$123.22
Upside / Downside53.97%61.35%69.03%

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